Caerau Ely host Afan Lido in the Welsh Cymru Championship on 7 March 2026. Kick-off: 17:00 (GMT+0). The fixture brings together two sides with contrasting positions in the table and recent scoring trends that suggest an open contest based on recent match data.
Quick Probability Snapshot
- Home Win Trend: 45%
- Draw Trend: 20%
- Away Win Trend: 35%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals: 60%
- 1st Half Under 0.5 Goals: 40%
- Full-Time Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
- Full-Time Under 2.5 Goals: 40%
Home Last 5 Matches
Caerau Ely have produced mixed results in their most recent matches, combining high-scoring wins with a few defensive setbacks. Four of their last five games have produced at least three total goals, highlighting a tendency toward open matches.
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 March 2026 | Aberystwyth Town | 0–1 | 0–4 | Win |
| 21 February 2026 | Carmarthen | 0–0 | 3–4 | Loss |
| 13 February 2026 | Cambrian Clydach | 3–0 | 3–0 | Loss |
| 7 February 2026 | Ammanford | 1–1 | 3–1 | Win |
| 31 January 2026 | Bangor 1876 | 2–1 | 3–1 | Loss |
Away Last 5 Matches
Afan Lido enter this fixture with a more defensive profile in recent games. Three losses in the last five outings contrast with two victories, and several matches have remained low-scoring, particularly in the opening half.
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 March 2026 | Ammanford | 1–1 | 3–1 | Win |
| 20 February 2026 | Trey Thomas Drossel | 0–0 | 1–0 | Win |
| 13 February 2026 | Newport City | 0–1 | 0–1 | Loss |
| 30 January 2026 | Pontypridd | 0–0 | 2–0 | Loss |
| 23 January 2026 | Carmarthen | 0–0 | 0–1 | Loss |
Head to Head – Last 5 Meetings
Recent meetings between Caerau Ely and Afan Lido have generally favored the home side in this matchup. Three wins in the last five encounters highlight Caerau Ely’s historical edge, although the meetings have frequently featured multiple goals.
| Date | Match | HT | FT | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October 2025 | Afan Lido vs Caerau Ely | 1–0 | 3–2 | Loss |
| 22 November 2024 | Caerau Ely vs Afan Lido | 0–0 | 3–0 | Win |
| 7 September 2024 | Afan Lido vs Caerau Ely | 1–1 | 2–2 | Draw |
| 1 April 2024 | Caerau Ely vs Afan Lido | 0–2 | 3–2 | Win |
| 17 October 2023 | Caerau Ely vs Afan Lido | 3–0 | 4–0 | Win |
Data-Driven Match Outlook
Looking at the recent form lines, Caerau Ely have experienced fluctuating results but continue to produce matches with significant goal volume. Their last five fixtures include several games where multiple goals were scored, indicating an attacking approach that can generate chances but may also expose defensive gaps. In contrast, Afan Lido have tended to play tighter matches, with several recent games decided by a single goal and multiple first halves ending level or with minimal scoring activity.
Historical meetings between the clubs reinforce the potential for scoring opportunities. Four of the last five encounters produced at least three total goals, suggesting that when these teams meet, games can open up particularly in later stages. At the same time, first-half scoring patterns across both sides show a mixture of early breakthroughs and slower starts, meaning match tempo may evolve gradually before becoming more expansive as the game progresses.