Sunshine Coast Wanderers Women host Queensland Lions Women in the Australia Queensland State Women’s League on 8 March 2026. Kick-off: 04:00 (GMT+0). Recent performances point to a contrast in styles, with Sunshine Coast involved in tighter scorelines while Queensland Lions have featured in matches with wider swings in goals. The head to head record also adds an important layer, as recent meetings have often leaned one way despite changes in short term form.
Quick Probability Snapshot
- Home Win Probability: 35%
- Draw Probability: 28%
- Away Win Probability: 37%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 Probability: 61%
- 1st Half Under 0.5 Probability: 39%
- FT Over 2.5 Probability: 46%
- FT Under 2.5 Probability: 54%
Home Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Brisbane Olympic (w) | 1-0 | 2-0 | Loss |
| 22 Feb 2026 | FQ QAS Women | 0-0 | 0-2 | Loss |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Gold Coast Knights (w) | 0-3 | 0-3 | Loss |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Capalaba Women | 0-1 | 0-1 | Win |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Brisbane City (w) | 0-0 | 0-1 | Win |
Away Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Gold Coast Knights (w) | 1-2 | 2-4 | Loss |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Brisbane Olympic (w) | 0-0 | 0-0 | Draw |
| 17 Feb 2026 | FQ QAS Women | 3-0 | 7-0 | Win |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Gold Coast United (w) | 0-0 | 1-0 | Win |
| 05 Sep 2025 | Gold Coast Knights (w) | 1-0 | 4-0 | Loss |
Head to Head – Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul 2025 | Queensland Lions Women | 0-0 | 2-0 | Win |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Queensland Lions Women | 0-3 | 0-6 | Loss |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Queensland Lions Women | 0-1 | 0-1 | Win |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Queensland Lions Women | 0-1 | 0-1 | Win |
| 08 Jun 2024 | Queensland Lions Women | 1-0 | 1-0 | Win |
Team Form Analysis
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Women come into this match with a split set of results across their last five, but the headline trend is the lack of goals at one end. They have scored only two times in that spell while conceding seven, and three of those matches ended with Sunshine Coast failing to score. Even in their wins, the margins have been narrow, which suggests they are often trying to manage games through structure rather than open exchanges.
Queensland Lions Women have produced a very different profile. Their last five includes a standout 7-0 win, and overall they have scored ten goals, but they have also conceded eight. That combination points to a team capable of creating many chances, yet still exposed when opponents can break pressure or exploit transitions. The 0-0 draw with Brisbane Olympic (w) also shows they can be held when the match becomes more controlled and compact.
The head to head history leans strongly towards Sunshine Coast, with four wins from the last five meetings and three consecutive 1-0 victories across 2024 and early 2025. Several of those games were decided by fine details, and first half scorelines have often been tight. The exception was the 0-6 result in April 2025, which stands out as the one recent meeting where Queensland Lions fully imposed their attacking game.
From a match analysis perspective, the key question is whether Sunshine Coast can slow the tempo and keep the game in the kind of low scoring range that has suited them in this fixture. Queensland Lions arrive with the more explosive recent scoring trend, but their defensive record across the last five suggests Sunshine Coast will feel opportunities can appear if they stay competitive through the opening phases.